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Jobs: QCEW Shows 2024 Job Reports were the Biggest Overstatement in 15 years

Exploring Finance | SchiffGold | 05 Jul, 2025

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on.

Current Trends

The jobs report showed a modest increase of 147k jobs. While that was a decent showing, the Household Survey only showed a gain 93k.

birth death model BLS economic slowdown employment data full-time vs part-time Household Survey inflation job revisions jobs report labor market QCEW