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Gold & Silver Afternoon Update 12/11/2025 | The Bregar Minute

Daily Update | Erik Bregar | 11 Dec, 2025

A righteous rest of the day for gold, thanks to continued USD selling.  This finally encouraged the bulls to trip buy-stop orders above the overnight high (likely forcing out the moronic algos that kept trying to link the safe-haven asset to the stock market), and we then galloped to new session highs when buy-stops above the Dec 1 high were hit.  We even saw gold option volatility rise for the time in two weeks, indicating fresh demand for bullish call positions.  Price action since the COMEX closes has been a little confusing though.  Heavy handed silver and PGM sellers have come in, despite the continued stock market rally this afternoon (producing negative looking NY closing prints below the COMEX closing ranges); but gold has miraculously withstood a hard-to-explain reversal higher for US yields following a good US 30yr bond auction and defended the Dec 1 high as new support.  I’d air on the side of caution once again tonight given this yield reversal and the very good possibility for another Chinese yuan pushback from the PBOC (that lifts the broader USD).  Tomorrow morning’s calendar features three Fed speakers (Paulson, Hammack and Goolsbee), and so be prepared for more hawkish headwinds to defend Powell’s new “wait and see” charade.

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